Comments on: Final Electoral Predictions: What a McCain Upset Would Look Like

By: Big Dan

Big Dan — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 00:32:23 +0000

Aaron, as a person who has lived in Pittsburgh, I agree with what you are saying. Murtha may be ousted due to his comments and people being tired of his inactions (there are several incumbent Democrats in the state legislature that could lose this election). Russell and Barletta both have a great shot.

Now too McCain vs Obama. It will not be a blowout, that I guarantee. McCain is likely to take a few swing states, hopefully with the coal comments of the weekend and the new civilian military, that may swing a few more in important states like PA and Ohio. The others, I think McCain can take Indiana, Florida, and Nevada. Virginia and North Carolina will be a bit more difficult, but are doable.

I have been asking Pennsylvanians that support Obama this. “If McCain had picked Tom Ridge for VP, would that have swayed them” It would have given him PA, but would it have been worth it?

My prediction: Hoping for McCain, but honestly couldn’t tell you yet. I will say that this will be one to pay attention too.

By: Aaron Marks

Aaron Marks — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 21:15:30 +0000

Not at all, you credited me for writing it, that’s all I can ask. Thanks!

By: Daltonsbriefs

Daltonsbriefs — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 21:13:50 +0000

Aaron, I’ll be adding this new site to a couple of my sites tonite, love the thought and the conversations your starting.

I grabbed some of this post and posted over at RedCounty too, if you feel I grabbed too much, let me know, I was in a hurry

By: James Clarkson

James Clarkson — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 21:01:13 +0000

Very interesting Aaron. I agree with your three predictions as the closest possibilities, but I tend to personally favor both the close race scenario’s. I think that whoever wins the election, it will be a lot closer then the current pollsters are thinking. Remember when exit polling showed Kerry winning by a landslide? I do. The first two hours of election coverage in 2004 kept saying it looked like a huge win by Kerry. I think when it comes down to it, we need to let the people go out and vote. A great article and a great read!