Politics of Process and Policy

Democrats will do anything to pass health insurance reform, even, it seems, subvert the constitution. Knowing that they still lack the votes to pass the kickback-filled Senate health reform bill word-for-word, Democrats in the United States House of Representatives have concocted what they think may be a way around having an up-or-down vote on the legislation. Sane individuals would pause and look for a means to start over, or would move on to another issue. Instead, however, these Democrats want to hold a vote accepting the Senate bill without actually voting on the legislation itself. Sadly, President Obama seems content to accept such absurd behavior.

In two separate U.S. Supreme Court cases (here and here) the majority has held that the federal constitution requires a specific process for the passage of legislation; and identical text must pass in each house of Congress prior to going to the president for signature. What has been called the Slaughter solution in press accounts, for Representative Louise Slaughter (D-NY), would deem the Senate bill to be accepted by the House as is without a formal vote on the text of the bill itself. Democrats, in effect, are proposing to use a stunt to pass legislation while being able to claim that they did no such thing. In reality, legislators sworn to uphold the constitution will be remaking one sixth of the U.S. economy through parliamentary gimmickry. Yet, it was precisely this sort of thing that the framers of the United States Constitution opposed.

There are now, and will forever, be disputes over what precisely is allowable or not under the federal constitution. However, rational people on the left and the right generally agree that its provisions offer broad support for personal liberty. For this reason, the first and fourth amendments to the U.S. Constitution are well known. The broad interpretations offered over many years of the fourteenth amendment to said constitution define rather broadly its guarantee of due process of the laws. The amendments to the U.S. Constitution, usually crafted to defend one’s rights against excesses of government power, are not the only portions of the world-renowned ocument safeguarding personal liberty.

Disputes over due process often arise in instances if criminal law. However, its pertinence applies to the law generally, and the framers of the U.S. Constitution had a precise reason for establishing two legislative chambers to comprise the Congress. Nearly any student of the U.S. political system knows that the two houses of Congress are apportioned differently to prevent any one state from dominating the national government. Inferring though that such is the reason why the Congress is bicameral would be inaccurate. Indeed, James Madison’s Virginia Plan called for a bicameral Congress wherein both chambers were elected on the basis of population. The formation of the United States Senate resulted from a compromise between that Virginia Plan and one offered by William Paterson of New Jersey which would have given each of the thirteen states equal representation regardless of population. The purpose of bicameralism on the federal level was to better secure the liberties of individuals and the states within the Union. To pass health insurance reform through the Slaughter solution, or its proper name, the “self-executing rule” would undermine bicameralism and fundamentally go against the best values of the U.S. political system.

One thing was actually correct in the justly maligned changes proposed to the Texas school curriculum; the government of United States of America is a constitutional republic, not a democracy. While this constitutional republic functions democratically, unbridled democracy can produce the greatest of human tragedies. The pure democracy affirms the interest of the collective over that of the individual in every possible instance. A purely democratic system is one in which the leader can be voted more power without checks on his new authority.

Civil libertarians were correct to criticize the excesses of the previous administration in its efforts to combat terrorism. Yet, there has been little more than silence from them now that the party and president in power are engaged in every activity imaginable to grow the power of the state in another area of public policy. This is particularly disturbing when considering the expanse of the present measure and its lack of any real fiscal constraint. The use of the self-executing rule in the House and budgetary reconciliation together to pass health reform would be the largest single abuse of federal authority since FDR proposed packing the Supreme Court with sycophants in 1937 to further his partisan agenda.

Democrats, to defend their legislative shenanigans, have argued that Republicans have used the budget reconciliation process numerous times in the past. Quality, however, matters more than quantity; adjusting rates of taxation or adding a prescription drug benefit to an existing program is substantively different from overhauling the entire health insurance system. Using reconciliation, as has been proposed, for health care reform would go against the fiscal policy nature of the process. Senator Byrd (D-WV) opposed using reconciliation for the aborted 1993 health reform plan precisely because of its substantive reach beyond short-term fiscal policy, and the constraints on debate imposed by such a process.

The Tea Party movement has been widely criticized. For the record, this author has shown concern over its excesses in the past. Speaker Pelosi in recent weeks suggested that Democrats share some sentiments with the Tea Partiers. Unfortunately, it seems the sentiments shared aren’t those pertaining to personal liberty, but rather those disdaining good governance and blind partisanship.

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Obama’s Accidental Case Against Reconciliation and the Senate Bill

Health care reform is expected to dominate U.S. headlines for another week as the latest reform push is underway in Congress. While varying analyses place the odds for passage of the increasingly complicated reform scheme, opposition builds on both the left and the right. President Obama has nonetheless been hard at work pushing the proposals of his party. Yet, in an attempt over the weekend to build support for the plan, President Obama presented the case for why the legislation he is pushing is unacceptable.

The President, in his weekly address Saturday, sought to reassure members of Congress that there would be aspects of the health insurance overhaul which would occur right away. A very real concern seems to exist among members of Congress that voting public will not experience the expected benefits of reform until sometime after this year. Knowing this, Republicans wisely selected member of Congress and former Democrat Parker Griffith to deliver their response to President Obama’s saturday address. Nonetheless, it was President Obama, in his effort to reassure wavering Democrats, who made the stronger case against the present legislation and approach.

Members of Congress are legitimately concerned with the unpopularity of the health reform bill, and have expressed worries that little of any immediate benefit will come from the legislation in time for the elections this November. To assuage such fears, President Obama in his video address Saturday emphasized the provisions of the legislation set to come into effect upon his signing the bill into law or shortly thereafter. However, the provisions stated are those which happen to be the most popular, or could pass Congress with broad bipartisan support if enacted in a bill on their own.

In other words, to sell the faulty legislation before Congress, the President of the United States listed those broadly popular provisions while strategically glossing over the expense and largesse of his reform plans long term. Behind all of the progressive rhetoric about holding private businesses accountable is the reality that this legislation will not rein in spending, and could drive prices up due to the creation of a big business monopoly. President Obama decried the abuses of private sector bureaucrats, but seems indifferent to the far more consequential government bureaucrats. By mandating that every American above 26 have health insurance, as the present proposal before Congress does, Democrats not only invalidate the claim that they are against imposing their values on others, but also establish a monopoly favoring large, entrenched insurance firms over smaller, and stifle innovation through the imposition of unnecessary new regulations in the process. President Obama boasts in his weekly address that the bill would pay for itself. However, a bill which focused on the popular provisions he said would take effect right away and not not on increasing the role of government and its expenditures substantially would cost far less, and gather far more support.

The benefit to starting over, as some Republicans have proposed, is that it would present a clearer picture of these broad points of agreement. Simply put, if all the current legislation did was bar insurers from dropping the sick, require that coverage be available to those with preexisting conditions, and closed the Medicare “doughnut hole” alluded to in the video adress, then health care reform would pass easily and with Republicans voting with Democrats on this issue. Unfortunately, common sense was not the change President Obama sought to bring with him to Washington.

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Analyzing the Blair House discourse

The Blair House health reform summit held Thursday concluded with minds largely unchanged. This is unfortunate. Republicans used the occasion to articulate real and legitimate concerns many have with existing Democratic reform proposals while President Obama and those of his party present expressed concerns of their own.

While their points of view differed, it is clear that both sides agree that reform is prudent in some form. In a just world, this would wipe away the liberal lie that Republicans intend only to be obstructionist. While both sides distort and mislead to score cheap points in politics, real policy development does actually occur. President Obama and Democratic senators have asserted that the Senate bill and the modificaions proposed to it by the administration include Republican ideas. However, to use a phrase that got then-candidate Obama into some trouble on the campaign trail in 2008, including Republican ideas in legislation disliked by congressional Republicans is tantamount to putting lipstick on a pig.

If it is indeed true that Republicans and Democrats agree on some aspects of reform, then those should be the basis for what the President seeks to have passed into law. This means abandoning the existing legislation, and working from scratch on the basis of those points of agreement. If the present proposal put forward by President Obama was as urgently needed as Democrats suggest, then it would come into effect far sooner than is written in the legislation itself. By 2012, if the economy has recovered, then with more people employed, the number of uninsured will presumably go down anyway, making the need for broader reform slightly less urgent.

No one in the Obama administration nor in Congress has answered a fundamental question coloring the reform debate. Until it is clear why an overhaul of the entire health care system is needed to insure ten percent of the U.S. populace, reform will be slow to advance. A side-by-side comparison of existing reform plans-Republican and Democratic-reveals that only around thirty million additional people would be insured if these changes were enacted. In a nation of over three hundred million, thirty million is not that significant.

With existing proposals, such as Senator Coburn’s bill,  Republicans have provided a framework for actually embracing reform. Both pieces of legislation, no doubt imperfect as they may be, provide a framework with which to test the obstruction hypothesis. The question moving forward is whether or not President Obama is willing to risk unpopularity with the firmly statist left by actually building consensus and getting reform implemented. In a move truly representative of change, Barack Obama once suggested he would forego a second term if it meant actually achieving health reform. Sadly, for the President of the United States, reelection seems to be a more pressing goal.

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Scott Brown, Barack Obama, and the Politics of Change

Republicans nationally had reason to celebrate Tuesday last week when Scott Brown did what seemed impossible not long ago; captured a Senate seat not held by a member of the GOP since Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. The Massachusetts special election on January nineteenth of this year had all of the hallmarks of the Barack Obama campaign from the last presidential election.  In the early stages of the Democratic primaries, then-United States Senator Barack Obama seemed like a long-shot running against the presumptive nominee of his party. That contest remained narrow to the very end, capturing the political class off guard.

The effective use of technology provided a boost to the Brown campaign absent in far too many Republican operations to date. Scott Brown wisely talked about bread-and-butter issues throughout his campaign, and offered to the electorate a pragmatic contrast to Martha Coakley. Like Obama, Scott Brown had been a state legislator. Whereas President Obama grew strength from the experiences of his youth and background, Senator Brown likely benefited from his professional life, as a lawyer married to a television reporter, and as a member of the Massachusetts National Guard.

The charismatic and articulate forty-first member of the present Republican caucus in the United States Senate has thus galvanized his party in ways others had not. This was true even as the prospects for electoral success by Republicans was growing nationally. In this sense too, Brown is for the right what Obama is to the left; indeed, despite the excitement surrounding his win, 2008 was a Democratic year.

Much of the excitement generated by President Obama during his first year in office has faded away as the realities of governance have set in. Now, there is a growing despondence being felt in the Democratic Party over the actions and inactions of the Obama administration. The State of the Union speech this year was well-tuned enough for the president to possibly regain some traction, but deep fissures of his own creation remain.

President Obama spent the first year of his administration overexposed. The White House took a risk by putting the president front and center on one big policy reform initiative after another. Now, President Obama has been left with little to show for all the attention paid. As likable as the president is, and as popular as he remains in much of the country, he could not deliver to Martha Coakley the seat once held by Ted Kennedy.

In Scott Brown, Republicans certainly have a rising leader on the national stage. However, he should be weary of repeating the mistakes made by President Obama. Being the person out in front on a particular issue set comes with risks. Due to his domestic policy prominence in his first year, President Obama has left himself room to take some of the blame for the prolonged recession, the health care debacle, and the recent unpopularity of Democrats nationally.

Scott Brown should be one of many leading voices in the Republican resurgence. However, he is a single person. A movement to succeed always needs more than one prominent figure. Some who voted in 2008 for the first time may now be learning this lesson, but it is relevant to Republican strategists too.

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Onward and Upward: Building a Sustainable Majority

This week has been a great one for conservatives across the nation.  Scott Brown’s victory proved that, in the words of the increasingly vulnerable Barbara Boxer, “Every state is now in play.”  His victory also demonstrated that Republicans can achieve many of the successes that led to Barack Obama becoming the 44th President of the United States — dominating the Internet; raising unbelievable sums of money, especially online; building a massive base of small donors; and having a victory driven by a massive coalition of grassroots activists.  With Brown’s victory came the ever-increasing likelihood that the Democrat’s health care bill would be stalled indefinitely.  Then came the demise of Air America. All of these events have inspired a new-found confidence among those to the right of center, while liberals and Democrats have pushed the panic button.  One of my favorite political minds, Jay Cost, asks, “What Does Obama Do Now?” For those of us on the right, I think conservatives must ask themselves an equally critical question:  What do Republicans do now?

I admit that I believe that the GOP is on the verge of a 2010 blowout.  As for the magnitude of said blowout, I think it’s too early to say, but in my mind there’s a real chance that Republicans could retake one of the chambers of Congress.  However, as I’ve previously cautioned, I don’t believe that a blowout this year will mean things are better for the Republican Party.  Winning back seats is great, but as Mindy Finn writes, those on the right must “stop gloating” — and start thinking about building a sustainable majority. A major victory this year will not be the product of a new-found love for the Republican Party; instead, it will be the product of voter disgust and discontent with the status quo, namely with President Obama and Democrats in Congress.  The Republican Party is still enormously unpopular itself, and a midterm election blowout due to the aforementioned reasons is not exactly how a sustainable majority is built.

On the other hand, converting what are traditionally considered to be safe blue seats in places like Massachusetts and California (I’m looking at you, Barbara Boxer) to red ones — and finding ways to hold onto those seats — is certainly a step toward a sustainable majority.  The same is true of fielding candidates in all 435 Congressional districts every cycle.  Embracing transparency and continuing to authentically fight to limit government is another building block in a sustainable majority.  Effectively using technology while embracing today’s Age of Participation through peer production is another step.  Offering substantial and real policy options that differ from those of the White House and the Democrats is similarly critical.

To the contrary, getting sucked back into the ways of Washington by growing government and increasing spending is a sure way to cede momentum right back to the Democrats.  Failing to broaden the base with different demographics, like young voters, Hispanics, or African Americans is another way to likely guarantee that 2010 will be a one-and-done year for Republicans.  And of course, growing content with success at any point will inevitably lead right back to defeat.

Like your favorite sports game, momentum is critical in politics.  Republicans clearly have the momentum, and barring a dramatic change in the political wind, this momentum will significantly change the composition of the Congress this November.  When that happens, the ball will be in the GOP’s court.  The crucial question will then be:  What will they do with it?

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The Massachusetts Senate Race Offers a Guide to Competing in November

The narrowing and possible elimination of Martha Coakley’s lead in even Democratic polls shows that the discontent felt by bread-and-butter voters is real. While the jobless rate is holding at ten percent nationally, indications are that this is due to more would-be laborers giving up on trying to find work rather than on anything the government has done to date. If, as the Democratic National Committee Chairman says, Democrats are not taking the Massachusetts special election for granted, then few other than economic issues can explain Scott Brown’s poll numbers.

As in the gubernatorial contests last November, Independents are fueling the success of the Republican candidacy. However, as a rule, the GOP brand remains unpopular thus far with too many outside of the party. With this in mind, party leaders must focus their attention not on rigid issues of social policy in planning for the November midterms, but rather in dealing with the economic concerns of the electorate. Indeed, instead of tackling job growth, the present admininistration in the seat of our federal union has focused continuously on its ideologically-driven policy goals rather than tackle the immediacy of the sagging economy.

The reform of health insurance access and delivery is an important goal. However, a populace out of work is one which cannot be expected to pay the taxes necessary to carry on the ever-increasing functions of government. While it is true that President Obama inherited a recession, he can act to mitigate its effects. The Democrats did pass, and President Obama did sign, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. However, it failed in its basic aims of job creation and reducing unemployment. The Obama approach to tackling the economy has not worked. However, Republicans must provide a clear alternative if GOP candidates are to succeed in the congressional races this year.

John McCain was hurt in the presidential race less than two years ago by failing to offer an actual economic plan. The electorate knew what McCain opposed, but not what he favored. To President Obama’s credit, he gave an indication of what his approach to the economy would be, even if he was for some ideas before being against them. Conservatives were broadly against the Bush bailout. Obama supported that bailout, and enacted more of his own as president. From McCain in 2008 came a bold pledge to temporarily suspend campaigning to offer a better proposal, and then he failed to devise one. The esteemed senior senator from Arizona, who has since losing the presidential election, emerged as an important leader in the Republican Party, might be in the oval office today had he offered a real contrast on the campaign trail.

Whether it will ultimately succeed or not, this is an area in which the Scott Brown for U.S. Senate campaign has been successful. Within and beyond the locally-televised debates, Brown has offered up sound policy proposals which he feels would address the economic recession in the United States presently. Coakley, like McCain, has presented herself as a good person. Like McCain, she may well be a fundamentally good person. However, as the change agent-in-chief has made apparent over the last year, being intelligent or interesting is not as important as the capacity to tackle big problems.

What made Obama successful in the 2008 election weren’t the racist factors alluded to by the Senate Democratic Leader, but rather his ability to give the impression that he was a broad-minded leader who had pragmatic solutions to large problems. Conservatives weren’t wrong to portray candidate Obama as a celebrity per se; where they went wrong was in challenging him effectively on policy. It was policy ideas, not dissatisfaction with or disdain for Democrats that made Newt Gingrich Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives. Whether successful or not, the Brown campaign should remind Republicans going forward of the importance of both the moment, and the need to offer an alternative rather than meer opposition in the legislative process.

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The Massachusetts Special Election Could Define the 2010 Cycle.

There has been and will continue to be much discussion regarding the surprise retirements of Chris Dodd (D-CT) and Byron Dorgan (D-ND) announced on Tuesday this week. Certainly, these retirements could completely reshape the Senate contests later this year in those two states. In the near term, however, the attention of Republicans should be on Massachusetts, where a senatorial special election is set for the nineteenth of this month. Continue reading →

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Let’s Support the Cantwell-McCain Bill

In 1999, a bi-partisan effort led by the Democratic Clinton Administration and Republican leaders in Congress repealed the Glass–Steagall Act with the passage of the Gramm–Leach–Bliley Act. The Glass Steagall Act had prohibited any one institution from acting as any combination of an investment bank, a commercial bank, and/or an insurance company, thereby blocking the creation of banking behemoths that were “too big to fail.” The 1999 repeal of Glass Steagall set up the financial system that was bound to collapse on itself eventually, and that moment came in 2008. Even former President Bill Clinton, usually not one to express humility, admitted his administration was partially to blame for the collapse because it strongly advocated this unnecessary deregulation that only helped make huge banks bigger and did nothing for the average customer.

Now, another bi-partisan bill, proposed by Senators John McCain and Maria Cantwell, is attempting to make amends, and reinstate the provisions from Glass-Steagall that blocked the creation of these all-in-one banks. Unlike in 1999, the leadership of both parties seems to be against this bi-partisan bill, presumably because it actually is a good piece of legislation. The very same people on the Banking Committee back then (I’m talking to you, Senator Frank) will do their best to make sure Cantwell-McCain does see the light of day now. Not surprisingly, the major banks are going through great lengths to convince those who wield power that the combination of commercial and investment banking somehow makes sense and to break the two up would somehow hurt the economy. This argument has more holes than a sponge.

This bill presents an excellent opportunity for Republicans. Fair or not, we got blamed for the financial collapse that resulted from the Glass–Steagall repeal. The bill was signed into law by a Democratic President but the consequences came at the end of an already unpopular Republican Administration. Even though this new bill has the support of progressives and moderates alike in the Democratic Party, their leadership will never go for it. Conservatives are also expressing the populist support for this bill.

Democratic campaign officials, meanwhile, have already shown us their strategy for the 2010 elections: tie Republicans to Wall Street. If we come out in support of this bill as a party, two things will happen. First, the argument that Republicans are looking out for the super-rich and not the common man will be null and void. Just as important, Democrats will be forced to go along and support Cantwell-McCain for fear of looking pro-mega banks themselves.

The bill is a win-win for whichever party gets to take the credit for it. As long as the bank lobby does not effectively kill it, it will eventually gain enough support on both sides to pass. It would thus be a very wise move on the part of our Republican Congressional leaders to champion the cause.

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Things learned in the debate over health care reform

With some form of health care reform poised to be enacted following the passage of a trillion-dollar, pork-filled boondoggle in the U.S. Senate on Christmas Eve, reflection on the course of this policy debate and its broader implication for the trajectory of the Obama administration seem warranted. Whatever results in the coming months on the issue of bringing reform to health care insurance and distribution, there is much about which to be frustrated in the process as undertaken by both the Obama administration and its allies in Congress. Continue reading →

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